What Green Bay Packers Could Acquire Trading Back from Pick 28
By Paul Bretl
With Brian Gutekunst at the helm of the Green Bay Packers, he has traded back just one time within the top-100 picks, which happened in his first draft in 2018 when he moved from pick 14 to 27 in an exchange with New Orleans. However, it’s important to note that Gutey would quickly move back up to pick 18 to select Jaire Alexander.
While former GM Ted Thomason was much more inclined to move back in the draft, Gutey has often done the opposite early on, trading up within the first three rounds in all four of his drafts, including three times within Round 1 and five times overall.
For this reason, along with the Packers’ need at receiver, and the fact that they have 11 total draft picks, I certainly believe that they could move up from pick 22 in order to get their guy. In a recent article, I took a look at what nine different trade packages could look like for Green Bay if they do actually try to trade up.
However, with having two first-round picks, the Packers also have more flexibility. If they had just the 28th pick, there is likely more urgency — although, to what degree can be debated — for a team that is all-in on maximizing the window they have with Aaron Rodgers.
But if they are able to secure an immediate contributor at receiver, for example, at pick 22, perhaps Green Bay tries to trade back at pick 28 in an effort to accumulate more early-round draft picks in a class that has been touted for its depth. This would allow the Packers to address more position(s) of need with players who could make an impact right away.
Now, having said that, the Packers shouldn’t just trade back for the sake of trading back. If there is someone available at 28 that they value–then, of course, select that player.
With that said, if the opportunity arises for Green Bay to trade back, using the Rich Hill draft pick value chart, we can get an idea of what type of extra draft capital the Packers could acquire. And for those wondering, the draft pick value chart was developed by former Dallas head coach Jimmy Johnson as a way to quantify the value of draft picks so the Cowboys could determine what was a fair trade. Since then, there have been different variations of this chart created, but for the most part, Johnson’s model has stood the test of time.
As was the case the first time that I did this exercise with the Green Bay Packers trading up, my goal is to make these trades as fair as possible. Also, the furthest trade back that I will look at is pick 37–anything beyond that begins to enter the territory of moving back too far, and honestly, we may have already reached that point.
Green Bay Packers trade back to pick 29 with Kansas City
Packers receive: picks 29 and 135
Packers trade away: picks 28, 171, and 228
Quick Thought: This is probably an unlikely move back unless the Chiefs are in love with a prospect and concerned about another team moving in ahead of them. This trade does involve more draft picks than what may be needed with other teams, but considering that Kansas City is without a fifth and sixth-round selections, extra picks were required to make the math work out.
Green Bay Packers trade back to pick 30 with Kansas City
Packers receive: picks 30 and 135
Packers trade away: picks 28, 228, and 249
Quick Thought: Again, a similar situation to the one described above, and also, probably not very likely as well.