The Marquette Basketball December schedule was going to be brutal. Amid a three-game losing streak and dropping four of five games, December was particularly cruel to Marquette hoops.
The Marquette Golden Eagles had to go on the road to face top-25 teams in Wisconsin and Xavier. Marquette also hosted top-5 UCLA. In addition, they had a home conference matchup with UConn, who is expected to be battling for the Big East crown.
The only win the Marquette Golden Eagles could muster was a road win over Kansas State. Needless to say, December was a tough stretch of games.
A visual representation of Strength of Schedule pic.twitter.com/y1HBgZeRK0
— JG Trends (@jgtrends) December 26, 2021
The December slate is now over after the St. John’s game got postponed due to a COVID-19 outbreak among the Red Storm.
What can be taken away from a stretch that has left Marquette Basketball 8-5 on the season and 0-2 in the Big East?
First, do not expect an NCAA Tournament bid
At the same time, it does not mean you can not hope the Marquette Golden Eagles sneak into the tournament.
Marquette is currently 75 in the NCAA NET rankings. They have a couple of Quad 1 and 2 wins which look good on an NCAA Tournament resume. Marquette’s strength of schedule plays to its favor.
#mubb is back on the bubble in the first @CrackedSidewlks S-Curve of the year. Anyone remember what happened the last time Shaka Smart started his NCAA trip in Dayton?https://t.co/MMnXoqg3C6 pic.twitter.com/AEbtNr3CCL
— Alan Bykowski (@brewcity1977) December 30, 2021
At the same time, the Marquette Golden Eagles are 83rd in the KenPom rankings. They are 106th according to T-Rank. Those rankings are pretty good projectors at who gets an invite to the Big Dance.
That means the Golden Eagles have a lot of work to do.
NEW ON AE: The NCAA’s NET page started cooperating with me again, so I was able to finish the look at the tournament profiles for both @MarquetteMBB & @MarquetteWBB heading into the new year. #mubb #muwbb https://t.co/OHtJmWUs2x
— Anonymous Eagle (@AnonymousEagle) December 30, 2021
At a minimum, Marquette needs to finish 12-8 or 11-9 in the Big East to have a legit shot at making March Madness. Even at that point, they need to win a few games in the Big East Tournament.
The Big East schedule is going to be tough sledding as the January portion of the schedule features six games against ranked opponents, five of them back-to-back, if Seton Hall, Providence, Villanova, Xavier all stay in the top-25.
Talk about a gauntlet. That is a rough stretch for a veteran team, which Marquette is not, so you can bet it will be a battle to just leave January above .500.
This is a team that showed in December it has fight and talent. It also showed that it is still young and inexperienced. That is why it is better to hope for a March invite and not expect it. The season will be much more enjoyable.
Justin Lewis needs to stop shooting three-pointers
Marquette’s leading scorer had a good December. Lewis was in double-digits in all five games.
His three-point shot has been way off the mark, however. He is shooting 25.8% from beyond the arc, and his home three-point percentage is 12.5.
I know he has NBA aspirations, but right now, Marquette’s offense needs him to attack the basket and get points in the paint.
Shaka Smart's offense puts strong emphasis on the three-pointer. But Justin Lewis has struggled from deep and been very effective inside.
— JSOnline - MU (@js_goldeneagles) December 31, 2021
https://t.co/r3PVrcnxza
Tyler Kolek has run the point brilliantly
He was a catch-and-shoot player last year at George Mason. Since transferring to Marquette and moving to point guard, he has been an excellent ball distributor.
A lot of green here. Btw, anyone that hasnt seen #22 in Yellow run that wing ball screen needs to go watch his film. @MarquetteMBB @BIGEASTMBB pic.twitter.com/JRs5dROFjy
— JG Trends (@jgtrends) December 28, 2021
He has been great running the pick-and-roll offense.
[New to PT] Tyler (Kolek), The Creator. #mubbhttps://t.co/Rnp62tKIth
— Paint Touches (@PaintTouches) December 26, 2021
Now, if he can start getting his threes to fall, Marquette could be really potent offensively.
Marquette needs to avoid getting down by double-digits and get buckets down the stretch
Marquette was down by 10 or more points in every game but the Kansas State game. Against Xavier and UConn, the Golden Eagles rallied back to get to within a point late in the game.
Then they went cold down the stretch. Marquette is showing fight but also running out of gas trying to come back. If a player on the roster could step up like Joe Chapman in 2005-2006 and hit a run-killing shot, they might find some success. Greg Elliott could be that guy.
They just need to find a way to limit runs the other team goes on. Maybe then some victories will come their way.