Can the Milwaukee Brewers get to 100 wins?

Led by the three-headed monster of Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff, and Freddy Peralta, this Milwaukee Brewers team may be the best in franchise history. Never in the 52 previous seasons of existence have they eclipsed the elusive 100 win mark, but this is their best chance yet.

Here’s how the numbers shake out: They need to go 18-10 in the final month of the season to get to triple digits in the win column. That’s a winning percentage of 65.5, higher than their season mark of 61.2, but under the 69.0 percent rate of games they’ve been winning since Willy Adames was acquired, so it’s entirely possible.

Next, let’s look at their schedule for the final month of the season. They have one more with the Giants, two with the Tigers, three-game sets with the Phillies, Indians, Mets, Cubs, and Dodgers, and a whopping 10 games with the Cardinals. It’s a pretty even schedule between bad, mediocre, and good teams with the Giants and Dodgers on the high side, Cubs and Tigers on the downturn, and Phillies, Mets, and Cardinals in the middle.

That makes for a lot of unpredictability, especially against the Cardinals, where games are always a toss-up in a division rivalry. Overall, the Milwaukee Brewers have the 5th hardest final stretch in terms of strength of schedule with an average winning percentage of 51.8. This does make it tough to see them keep up their winning ways as they’ve had the second easiest schedule up to this point at just a 48.6 percent win rate of their opponents.

Another thing about the schedule is that 16 of the final 28 games are at home, which seems like a positive, but they’ve actually been much better on the road this year, with the winning percentages being 55.4 at home and 66.2 on the road, so this could actually work against them.

Even though the schedule won’t be an easy one, the Milwaukee Brewers have been a hot team lately, winning seven of their last ten games and 15 of their last 20, which is well above the pace needed to get to 100 victories. Those weren’t all against pushover teams either, with the Cardinals, Reds, and Giants on the schedule.

Another important consideration is that we’re now entering Craigtember. Much like the Twilight Zone, Craigtember is a space where things get very weird and aren’t always as they appear.

Of course, with rosters only expanding to 28 this season, it won’t get as wild and wacky as in years past, but get ready for Counsell to pull out all the stops down the stretch to rack up wins. In 2018, Counsell’s Crew went 19-7 in September to pry the division away from the Cubs and one-upped themselves in 2019, going 20-7 even without Christian Yelich.

With the sizeable lead they have in the division, the Milwaukee Brewers are practically a lock for the playoffs, having a 99.9 percent chance to make it according to Baseball Reference, but there’s still a goal to play for here.

Also on the table as an easier goal is setting the franchise record for wins, which would mean getting to 97-65. For that, they’d have to go 15-13, a mark which seems like almost an inevitability with how well this team has been playing the last three months.

So do you think that Counsell can lead the Milwaukee Brewers to that elusive threshold of 100 wins? Let me know in the comments below.