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5 Key Stats Behind Packers’ Epic Fourth-Quarter Comeback Win vs. Saints

Brian Sampson
Brian Sampson

Dairyland Express

Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) talks to his team during the first quarter of their game Sunday, September 24, 2023 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.

Sep 24, 2023; Green Bay, WI, USA; Green Bay Packers linebacker Kingsley Enagbare (55) points out a holding penalty committed by New Orleans Saints offensive tackle Trevor Penning (70) on Sunday, September 24, 2023, at Lambeau Field at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Tork Mason-USA TODAY NETWORK
Sep 24, 2023; Green Bay, WI, USA; Green Bay Packers linebacker Kingsley Enagbare (55) points out a holding penalty committed by New Orleans Saints offensive tackle Trevor Penning (70) on Sunday, September 24, 2023, at Lambeau Field at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Tork Mason-USA TODAY NETWORK

The Green Bay Packers found themselves knee-deep in a nightmare scenario as they squared off against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. However, in a dramatic turn of events, that nightmare morphed into an exhilarating dream.

The Packers received a disheartening pre-game blow when five of their star players were ruled out due to injury: Aaron Jones, David Bakhtiari, Christian Watson, Jaire Alexander, and Elgton Jenkins. While Jenkins’ absence was expected, the questionable designation of the other four had cast a cloud of uncertainty over the team’s prospects before the kickoff.

As if the personnel setbacks weren’t enough, the Packers’ on-field performance had been nothing short of disjointed. Through the first three quarters, their offense sputtered, failing to put a single point on the board. The defense, in contrast, put up a commendable effort, but special teams yielded a punt return for a devastating touchdown and racked up a series of costly penalties on returns.

The Green Bay Packers, who moved to 2-1, had an epic comeback victory over the New Orleans Saints, fueled by these five key stats.

Yet, amid these challenges, the Packers refused to yield. Trailing 17-0 as they entered the fourth quarter, they summoned a remarkable resurgence, scoring the final 18 points and emerging triumphant. To grasp the essence of this epic comeback, let’s delve into some key statistics that defined their resounding victory.

Bonus Stat: Packers’ Penalties

Here’s a stat that might not bring much joy, but it’s undeniably significant: the Packers accrued a whopping 11 penalties for a total of 90 yards during Sunday’s game.

This surge in infractions emerged as one of the primary culprits behind their struggles to maintain offensive momentum. Under the guidance of Matt LaFleur, the Packers have traditionally been known for their disciplined play. However, this season has unveiled a different story. After averaging a modest 5.2 penalties per game in 2022, their tally has surged to 9 per game in 2023, a performance that currently ranks them 31st in the NFL in this regard.

Green Bay Packers linebacker Rashan Gary (52) reacts after a sack against the New Orleans Saints during their football game Sunday, September 24, 2023, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.
Green Bay Packers linebacker Rashan Gary (52) reacts after a sack against the New Orleans Saints during their football game Sunday, September 24, 2023, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.

Packers’ Defense Throws Second-Half Shutout

Injuries ran rampant within the Packers’ defense during the course of the game, particularly as it unfolded.

To begin with, Jaire Alexander was sidelined, and his replacement, Carrington Valentine, exited the game due to a bicep injury, subsequently making way for Corey Ballentine. Meanwhile, inside linebacker De’Vondre Campbell sustained an ankle injury in the first quarter and did not return to the field. Furthermore, standout outside linebacker Rashan Gary continued to be on a pitch count.

Despite these adversities, the defense delivered a remarkable performance, pitching a shutout in the second half. With Jameis Winston taking the quarterback reins after Derek Carr’s injury, Green Bay forced the Saints into two three-and-outs during their final four possessions. This stellar defensive effort ensured that the Packers’ offense received the ball back in a timely fashion. Admittedly, it wasn’t always the prettiest sight, and a late missed field goal by the Saints did provide a helping hand, but the Packers’ defense rose to the occasion when it counted most.

Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) celebrates defeating the New Orleans Saints during their football game Sunday, September 24, 2023, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) celebrates defeating the New Orleans Saints during their football game Sunday, September 24, 2023, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.

Love’s Fourth Quarter

We’ve witnessed both brilliance and struggles from Jordan Love this season, and Sunday’s game against the Saints encapsulated the full spectrum of his performance.

One aspect that garnered praise from teammates during training camp was his unflappability. Regardless of the efforts made by Jaire Alexander, Rasul Douglas, and others to get inside his head, Love remained remarkably focused on the game, avoiding distractions.

This unwavering confidence was on display, particularly in the fourth quarter, where he completed 7 of 17 passes for 104 yards and two total touchdowns. It wasn’t always a picture-perfect display, but it showcased his ability to make plays when his initial reads were unavailable and when he needed to utilize his mobility. It was a commendable response from the new face of the franchise.

Sep 24, 2023; Green Bay, Wisconsin, USA; Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur reacts during the fourth quarter against the New Orleans Saints at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark Hoffman-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 24, 2023; Green Bay, Wisconsin, USA; Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur reacts during the fourth quarter against the New Orleans Saints at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark Hoffman-USA TODAY Sports

Packers Go For Two? Packers Go For Two!

The Packers unveiled an unconventional strategy on Sunday when they opted for a two-point conversion while trailing by eight points, rather than the more conventional choice of kicking the extra point to narrow the deficit to seven. ESPN reports that Green Bay became just the fourth team in history to go for two when trailing by eight, with one of those instances being accidental due to a wayward extra point.

ESPN’s analysis brilliantly illustrates why this was the right decision and how it played a pivotal role in the Packers’ comeback victory.

Had the Packers settled for kicking two extra points after their touchdowns, the game would have headed into overtime. Opting for the two-point conversion following the first touchdown is a bold and astute approach aimed at securing a regulation win. According to ESPN’s data, teams that convert the two-point attempt and successfully kick the extra point after their second touchdown have a 45 percent chance of winning. It’s a win for analytics and, of course, the Packers!

Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) passes the ball against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday, September 24, 2023, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. The Packers came back from a 17-0 fourth-quarter deficit to win the game, 18-17.Tork Mason/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) passes the ball against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday, September 24, 2023, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. The Packers came back from a 17-0 fourth-quarter deficit to win the game, 18-17.Tork Mason/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin

Packers Fourth Quarter Comeback

The Packers faced a moment of truth as they failed to convert a fourth-down attempt to start the fourth quarter, and it seemed like their hopes were slipping away. However, the defense stepped up in a crucial way, swiftly returning the ball to the offense.

This defensive stand acted as the catalyst for the comeback and etched the game into the annals of Packers’ history. According to ESPN Stats & Info, this remarkable comeback stands as the second-largest fourth-quarter rally in Packers’ history. It’s only the second instance where they managed to secure a victory after trailing by a daunting 17 points or more as they entered the final quarter.

Green Bay Packers stand for the National Anthem during the first quarter of their game Sunday, September 24, 2023 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.
Green Bay Packers stand for the National Anthem during the first quarter of their game Sunday, September 24, 2023 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis.

Packers Protect Lambeau

Green Bay’s triumph on Sunday extends their impressive streak to 11 consecutive victories in home-openers at Lambeau Field, which currently stands as the longest active streak in the NFL. Additionally, this victory ensures that Matt LaFleur maintains his flawless record in home-openers since taking the helm as the Packers’ head coach.

For Love, this is a fantastic start to his career in front of the home crowd. While it wasn’t always smooth sailing, and the fans exhibited moments of restlessness, even expressing their discontent with boos, what truly matters is the Packers’ refusal to back down and their ultimate victory.

Brian Sampson

Brian Sampson

Brian has been covering the Milwaukee Bucks, Green Bay Packers, and all Wisconsin sports for over a decade. He has previously written for BrewHoop and Forbes Sports, where he blends analytics and film to capture details others may have missed. His love for film runs deep; he created the Bucks Film Room account on X, where he watches every Bucks game twice.