1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the number one player on this list at risk of becoming a bust. And his recent mini-slide down mock drafts is likely a result of team’s flailing confidence in him as a prospect.
Gilgeous-Alexander is a 6-foot-6 guard in the same mold as Michael Carter-Williams. That name alone should strike fear in the hearts of Bucks’ fans everywhere. He often relies on his length, a 6-foot-11.5 wingspan, as his primary weapon on both ends of the court. He can use it to deflect passes and disrupt ball-handlers.
He also has great lateral quickness which makes him terrifying defender for most guards, especially the smaller point guards. Defensively, he can truly make life difficult for opposing teams.
However, outside of his lateral quickness, he isn’t very athletic and lacks a vertical leap. He’s also very skinny and lacks any muscle whatsoever. This allows him to get pushed around by most players and equalizes some of his length advantage.
His shot is the biggest indicator of a bust. He’s not a very efficient nor fundamentally sound shooter. Teams don’t have to respect any part of his outside game, allowing them to help when off the ball. In a game that’s revolving more and more around shooting the basketball, a point guard who lacks an outside shot is becoming a dying breed.