Milwaukee Brewers: Building A Better Batting Order
By Joe Kiemen
According to the sabermetric lineup, a team should have their highest OBP player batting lead off.
After experimenting with Domingo Santana at lead off, an early injury led to Jonathan Villar taking over.
Was this right decision?
According to team statistics, Villar led the Brewers with a .369 OBP. This leaves him as the best option at lead off.
Combine this with his ability to steal bases, the former shortstop is a nightmare for opposing pitchers.
However, Villar also has a tendency to run himself into outs. This presents a problem because potential runs are taken off the board.
According to Reifer’s study, this is why speed is not necessary at the lead off spot. With the team’s best hitters following, top speed is not always necessary to score.
When Ryan Braun or Chris Carter hit home runs with Villar on base, his speed becomes less valuable. It does not matter how fast he runs across the plate after a deep blast.
Is this enough to argue for Villar’s removal?
The answer is no. Currently, the Brewers do not have a player with a high enough OBP to justify a new lead off hitter.
If they are able to promote or acquire a player specializing at getting on base, there could be room for discussion.
But for the 2016 season, Villar was the best option. Despite the base running gaffes, his energy and risk taking provided a much needed spark for the Brewers.